What the Future Holds for Children and HIV: New UNICEF Scenarios to 2040

A new UNICEF analysis models the future of the HIV response for children under different funding and coverage scenarios. The findings are stark: sustained investment could avert hundreds of thousands of HIV acquisitions and AIDS-related deaths among children by 2040, while funding cuts risk reversing hard-won gains — particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. The report underscores that protecting progress will require renewed global commitment, sustainable financing, and responsible transition planning to ensure children continue to access lifesaving HIV prevention, treatment and care.